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Election Prediction

chrisdye — 2011-04-30T20:04:50-04:00

As is Sillytech tradition, it's time to place your best guess on the outcome of Canada's election on Monday, May 2. There are 308 seats. The person who has the smallest seat differential for each party "wins":

Conservative:
NDP:
Liberal:
Bloc:
Green/Independent:

Chastity Violated

vinny9 — 2010-11-01T10:04:57-04:00

UK election prediction

chrisdye — 2010-05-05T12:32:35-04:00

We've predicted Canada and the US; why not someplace where only some of us have any idea what goes on?
The British House of Commons has 650 seats (529 in England, 40 in Wales, 59 in Scotland and 18 in Northern Ireland). There are many minor parties that can win a few seats with less than 2% of the vote. The categories for this contest will simply be "Conservatives", "Labour", "Liberal Democrats", and "Other". (If you want to specify the "Other", you are welcome to, but it won't count in who has the best prediction).

Election Congratulations

YvonTripper — 2009-11-02T18:11:26-05:00

Congratulations, first of all, to Hamid Karzai and G�rald Tremblay for their re-elections. For those of you who do not know these two men, one is a corrupt, weak leader in a land controlled by druglords whose re-election was made possible through a farcical, sham process, while the other is the president of Afghanistan.

Congratulations also go out to newly-acclaimed Mayor Gis�le Chapleau and the six acclaimed counsellors of L'Ile-Dorval (results available here), a city with no residents.

Afghanistan Presidential Election Poll

chrisdye — 2009-10-21T14:55:01-04:00

It's pretty difficult to find a poll by a reliable polling firm on the second round of Afghan elections on November 7, so let's try this unscientific poll:

If an election were held today, who of the following would you choose as President of Afghanistan:

- Abdullah Abdullah
- Hamid Karzai

Post your answer in the comments section, and we'll tabulate the results just before the vote.

Pirate Party - popular

YvonTripper — 2009-06-17T12:52:28-04:00

More news from the European Parliament elections: the first ever member of the Pirate Party of Sweden won a seat last week. Congratulations!

Ballots Not Bullets

vinny9 — 2009-06-05T08:13:03-04:00

Big election coming up in Lebanon

FDP Endorsement

YvonTripper — 2009-06-03T11:38:04-04:00

While travelling, I saw this attack ad of the Free Democratic Party (FDP) by the German Socialist Party (SPD) :

The ad suggests that "Financial Sharks" want to vote for the FDP in the upcoming European Parliament elections. The pictured financial shark seems very happy and friendly. I therefore encourage all European citizens registered in Germany to vote for the FDP on June 6.

I realize nobody cares, but...

chrisdye — 2008-12-08T08:42:08-05:00

May I please have your projections for tonight?

P.S. There is an election tonight.

Lib-76 PQ -47 ADQ-2

Election Information

YvonTripper — 2008-11-28T15:33:47-05:00

Radio Free Quebec has prepared a series of advertisements by the political parties to inform you, the voter:

Parti quebecois:

ADQ/Equipe Mario Dumont:

Liberal Party of Quebec

Quebec solidaire

Green Party

Communist Party:

Marxist-Leninist Party

Time To Call It, Bryan

goodladd — 2008-11-03T09:23:24-05:00

So who's it going to be? Buster McMarxist or Methuselah Jones?

I am going to continue with my gloomy appraisal of how progressive US voters actually are, and say:

Obama 266
McCain 272

Which gives Obama most of the battleground states (including, very charitably I think, Nevada, Colorado, and Ohio), but leaves Pennsylvania and Florida swinging to McCain and pushing him over the edge.

To quote Sideshow Bob: "Your guilty conscience may move you to vote Democratic, but deep down you long for a cold-hearted Republican to lower taxes, brutalize criminals, and rule you like a king."

I Always Preferred Sonic

goodladd — 2008-10-30T08:50:45-04:00

Thwomp the Vote '08

Mario strongly criticized Luigi�s stance that the Mushroom Kingdom should unequivocally meet with Ganondorf without preconditions, saying, �What Luigi doesn�t seem to understand that if without precondition you sit down across the table from someone who has called Hyrule a �stinking corpse,� and wants to destroy that country and wipe it off the map, you legitimize those comments.�

Yawn... election predictions... snore...

chrisdye — 2008-10-13T19:50:41-04:00

I predict exactly the same result as in 2006, except with one less Conservative and one more independent (ie., 2).

Guaranteed Victory

vinny9 — 2008-10-08T10:02:38-04:00

How to work around the Electoral College without a constitutional amendment

You Win Some, You Lose Some and Sometimes You Do Both

vinny9 — 2008-09-19T10:33:53-04:00

Vermont Congressman wins both Democrat and Republican nominations for the same post.

No Grids Allowed

vinny9 — 2008-09-16T13:16:08-04:00

Some seriously messed up gerrymandered districts (scroll down for pics)

McSneakypants

vinny9 — 2008-09-12T13:25:29-04:00

"About one-third of the absentee ballot applications received at the Hamilton County Board of Elections [in Ohio] have been ruled invalid because Republican Sen. John McCain�s presidential campaign printed a version of the form with an extra, unneeded box on it."

Awayyyy We Go!

vinny9 — 2008-09-05T10:35:40-04:00

Electoral vote polling

So, bj (or anyone else), whatcha say?

Obama: 385
McCain: 153

Bryan?

goodladd — 2008-02-05T10:42:10-05:00

Super Tuesday calls?

As a Bay Stater I'm going to say MA will go Romney and Obama. Overall Obama will finish with more delegates than Hillary but not enough to secure the nomination. McCain will beat out Romney, with Huckabee finishing a respectable but hopeless third.

Michigan Hotdogs

Bryan — 2008-01-15T17:32:06-05:00

McCain (thanks to independents)
Romney
Huckabee
Paul
Thompson
Giuliani

Clinton

Iowa Caucuses

Bryan — 2008-01-03T01:40:25-05:00

I'm calling 'em this way:

Dems:
1. Obama
2. Clinton
3. Edwards
4. Richardson
5. Biden

GOP:
1. Romney
2. Huckabee
3. Paul
4. McCain
5. Thompson
6. Guiliani

Currently, I think Obama and McCain are going to end up winning the nominations, but a lot can happen.

5 Minutes of Awesome

vinny9 — 2007-11-28T10:12:42-05:00

An edited version of this video opened MIA's Montreal concert on Monday.

Gambling with our Future

YvonTripper — 2007-03-24T10:51:08-04:00

DEADLINE: Sunday 11:59 pm.

Our current national election has been the most boring one in our history. To spice it up a bit, I invite you to wager in the Election Outcome Pool. Guess the popular vote of the five parties, and the number of seats that they will win. Fill in this ballot in the comments section:

POPULAR VOTE: LIB: X% PQ:X% ADQ:X% GRN: X% QS: X%
NUMBER OF SEATS (out of 125): LIB: X PQ: X ADQ: X

For every percentage point and number of seats that you are off, you get one point. The person with the fewest points wins.

Bonus: if you predict that the Greens or Qu�bec solidaire wins a seat, and they actually do, you get 50 points deducted from your score.

Apologies to the Queen

Gbrowdy — 2006-11-09T23:32:02-05:00

Look, I know this is a Canadian blog, but I live in dirty ugly America now and I still consider myself a member of this darn community.

I just wanted to say, despite the fact that it likely will change very little in reality, I am happy the Democrats took Congress here.

At least it means the vast majority of voters are not dumb idiots. Thats nice to know every once in a while (in this case, 12 years!)